Tropical disturbance forms near Bahamas

Posted at 8:47 AM, Oct 17, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-18 05:49:54-04

Storm Team 5 is keeping a close eye on a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers over the central and southeastern Bahamas that has a 70 percent chance of development in the next five days.

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The National Hurricane Center said the tropical disturbance is associated with a surface trough that is interacting with an upper-level low. 

Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but they could become more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday or Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Bahamas during the next day or so.

It does not appear that this is any threat to U.S. and likely to just turn northwest and then northeast out into the ocean.

It could become Tropical Storm Otto over the next few days.