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TROPICS: Category 2 Erin moves northwest, 2 other areas now being monitored

Tropics update 5AM Aug. 19, 2025
Hurricane Erin Cat 2 thumbnail Aug 19 2 pm advisory.png
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WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center said in its 2 p.m. Tuesday advisory, Hurricane Erin is still a Category 2 storm, packing maximum sustained winds of 105 mph while moving north-northwest near 10 mph.

Tropics update 5AM Aug. 19, 2025

The storm is almost directly west of Miami and is continuing to move north, so it will have no impact on our area besides swells moving in.

We can expect dangerous surf conditions in the water, with an extreme risk for rip currents, longshore currents, and powerful breaking waves through the end of the week and some lingering over the weekend. It is not advised to get in the water unless you are an experienced and well-traveled surfer.

Erin

Erin is forecast to weaken a bit more due to shear and dry air, but may strengthen again and sideswipe the Outer Banks area of the Carolinas as a Category 3 before curving into the northeast Atlantic. A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning have been issued for the Outer Banks area as locals prepare for potential flooding. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for areas north of Duck, North Carolina up to Cape Charles Light, Virginia.

TRACKING THE TROPICS: Hurricane Center | Hurricane Guide

Besides Erin, there are two other areas in the Atlantic that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring. One area near the Leeward Islands has a 60% chance of development within the next week. Models are showing development, but not as strongly as Erin, and may be taking a similar track. Still too early to be certain.

The other is further out in the Atlantic and currently has a 30% chance of development in the next seven days. While the environment is favorable now, it may run into an unfavorable environment down the road.

Erin

It is a good time to review hurricane plans and make sure you're prepared as we head into the peak months of hurricane season.

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TERMS TO KNOW

TROPICAL STORM WATCH: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified coastal area within 48 hours.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within the specified coastal area within 36 hours.

HURRICANE WATCH: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are possible somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane watch is issued 48 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.

HURRICANE WARNING: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are expected somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane warning is issued 36 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.