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Palm Beach Surf Forecast, Updated local surf forecast for SE Florida

and last updated 2020-10-18 23:38:21-04

UPDATED: OCTOBER 18, 2020 — Surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast

Small wave picked up Thursday around the low tide.

High Pressure to our north and lower pressures in the Caribbean will keep winds gusty most of the week. It'll be choppy but some good punch to it with underlying swell.
A broad low is southeast of Bermuda and is expected to develop into a subtropical or tropical storm and move back toward Bermuda. Latest model runs have it pausing over Bermuda before racing off to the NE. That nice pause will send a nice punch of swell that should make it into at least the northern half of PBC by the end of the week. At the same time it looks like there's a chance for the winds to come down, or even offshore. The Euro model even shows offshore winds with the earlier approach of a cold front so the possibility is there, but the GFS keeps the winds onshore, just lighter.


MONDAY: Underlying swell picks up but so does the wind. Chest-head high choppy NE swell. Wind ENE to east 15-25kts with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Chest-shoulder high plus windchop. Underlying swell fades and it turns into straight windchop. Wind still cranking but at least straight East 20-25kts.
WEDNESDAY: Chest plus straight east windchop. Upcoast will see the longer period east swell filling in but it will be blown out. Wind East 20-25kts.
THURSDAY: Waist to chest straight east windchop. Upcoast will have blown out east swell. Wind East 15-25kts.
FRIDAY: Wind comes down some and longer period NE swell fills in. Chest high with some bigger sets. Upcoast will be much bigger. Wind turns a little more ENE 10-15kts.
SATURDAY: Possibly some offshore winds but confidence low right now. Still some solid swell from future Epsilon in the chest high plus category. Upcoast will be much bigger.



Still watching the for a low to form in the Caribbean. Models have backed off on this at the moment. But the pattern is still ripe for something there so we'll keep an eye on it. First real front looks to be around Halloween.


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James Wieland is a Storm Team 5 meteorologist. When he's not working or updating his Web Wave Blog, James can be spotted on a surfboard, riding the waves up and down South Florida's coastline.

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