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Palm Beach Surf Forecast, Updated local surf forecast for SE Florida

and last updated 2020-08-14 22:24:02-04

UPDATED: AUGUST 14, 2020 — Surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast

It's been pretty flat.

Tropical storm Josephine is struggling with minimal tropical storm winds east of the islands and probably won't strengthen much more. It will run into some shear that will tear it apart through the weekend as it moves NW then recurves east of the Bahamas. It will completely dissipate early next week before it gets to Bermuda. It's enough to send some small swell though to central/northern Florida starting late weekend, peaking Tuesday, and lasting into Wednesday.
Also Kyle formed from the low that moved off Hatteras. It will strengthen some as it moves ENE over the Atlantic. It looks like there will be at least some fetch that may send some swell our way. The focus is more the mid-Atlantic and Hatteras but we could see some trickle down here mid next week, especially if the euro comes true. The euro looks pretty decent, but now the latest GFS looks a lot stronger and has more north in the fetch which would send more swell. The only negative is that it's moving somewhat quickly through our window. I bet the computer swell sites will bump up on their next run. Another low will follow it possibly keeping some small swell in the water if it lines up right. I wish they were a little farther south, then we would have some really good swell.


SATURDAY: Flat for so-flo.
SUNDAY: Flat for south Florida, small front runners from Josephine filling in central Florida. knee-waist high ESE swell at the lower tide. Clean with offshore winds.
MONDAY: Flat for south Florida. Central Florida will see a knee-waist high ESE swell from Josephine. It will struggle with the early high tide, but it'll be clean most of the day.
TUESDAY: East swell peaks upcoast waist-stomach high. Clean in the morning but slow with the high tide. Onshore seabreeze in the afternoon but should get fun as the tide drops, just a little chop on it.
WEDNESDAY: PBC will have some knee-thigh high Kyle swell filling in. Clean in them morning then crossed up with SE wind kicking in the afternoon. Up in central Florida, waist high leftover Josephine swell, mixing with some NE swell filling in. Clean but slow with the high tide in the morning. Some improvement with the tide dropping later but will get some texture.
THURSDAY: Knee/thigh high NE swell/SE windchop mix. Wind SSE 15kts.
FRIDAY-SATURDAY: SE swell picks up knee-waist high. Wind SE 15-20kts.



By the end of next week a tropical wave is expected to move to our south, but will increase our winds and bring a chance for some windchop going into the weekend. Then another wave will bring more SE windchop. By the end of August/early September the tropics should be popping left and right with a bunch of storms. We may get though 5-7 names or more.
The updated hurricane season outlook bumped out numbers way up for the season. Double the amount of activity we would normally get. This is good news for surf as long as they don't hit. Looks like the season could last through October and even into November. Hybrid storms in November could offer some really good swells.


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James Wieland is a Storm Team 5 meteorologist. When he's not working or updating his Web Wave Blog, James can be spotted on a surfboard, riding the waves up and down South Florida's coastline.

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