UPDATED: SEPT 15, 2026 — A cold front pushed off the east coast and is moving south. There's a nice fetch of stronger winds behind it as forecast earlier. This will be bigger than last weeks pulse, as it is stronger, has more north in it, and lasts longer. It looks like we will have a few days of waves. The only issue is the wind will come with the swell. Models trending a bit windier for us in south Florida, and a but later on Wednesday. There's still a possibility for a bit lighter winds on Thursday morning, for the southern half of PBC...in general though stronger winds north, lighter winds south. Now it looks like the wind direction will stay ENE through Thursday, and then get some south in it Friday as it lightens up. Friday could be a little bigger now, and a little cleaner. Can't wait to see how are sandbars are!
Daily surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast:
WEDNESDAY16: NE wind and waves pick up, but probably small through a good chunk of the morning before it picks up in the afternoon to waist/chest then shoulder high by the end of the day. The wind will pick up too and make it choppy, sloppy and drifty, but it should start to get some size. Wind NE 15-20kts.
THURSDAY17: Morning will be the peak time to get out. There should be more swell to it Thursday too. Local winds will still be onshore but it should lighten up some, at least for PBC, the Treasure Coast north will still be blown out with stronger wind. Size and power biggest in the morning but should hold pretty decent through the day. Chest-shoulder high with some bigger sets at the standout spots. More swell than chop so there could be some fun lines and nuggets despite the wind. Wind E 5-10kts in the morning but turning east or even southeast in the afternoon.
FRIDAY18: Waist high+ continuing mid-period NNE swell. Still should have some decent punch in the morning with less wind around so I'd say semi-clean. The wind may be turning more southeast so it'll get crossed up later in the day, but shouldn't get too strong, around 5-10kts.
WEEKEND19-20: Maybe a lingering bump leftover at the magnet spots Saturday before fading off and going flat on Sunday. Wind ESE 10kts.
LONG RANGE FORECAST: The NHC is highlighting an area east of Bermuda that will move west into a more favorable environment and could develop. The AI models seem to latch onto it but the operational global models aren't as enthusiastic. The GFS continues spinning something up in the Gulf, but now it's pushed later in time, which is a sign it doesn't know what it's doing that far out. As I mentioned, this probably won't happen like this but eventually the gulf(and Bahamas to Bermuda area) may be the place to look as we move into October. It's probably going to be more of the home grown-type activity in the gulf, or near the Bahamas as fronts come down and stall at the end of September and in October. El nino along with Saharan dust really did its thing on the season this year. The good news is we should make up for it over the winter where it will be much more active. Storm after storm in the heart of winter will keep waves going all season. It just may have a lot of VAS chop conditions that go with it too. Stay tuned.
Tides:
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