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Tropical disturbance in Eastern Atlantic with 20% chance of development

ATLANTIC DISTURBANCE 1
Disturbance 1 Atlantic Oct 11, 2026
Shear in the Atlantic
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OCTOBER 11, 2026 — WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic that has a low chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next several days.

Disturbance 1 Atlantic Oct 11, 2026

As of this morning, an elongated area of low pressure was located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, off the western coast of Africa.

The National Hurricane Center, gives the disturbance about a 20% chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours and a 20% chance over the next seven days.

While some organization is possible early this week, increasing upper-level winds and shear are expected to create less favorable conditions by midweek.

Shear in the Atlantic
Wind shear in the Atlantic Basin

The area is forecast to move slowly northward to north-northwestward over the next several days, remaining out in the eastern Atlantic.

At this time, the disturbance poses no immediate threat to South Florida.

TRACKING THE TROPICS: Hurricane Center | Hurricane Guide