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System in the Caribbean could become named storm once it enters Gulf of Mexico

Hurricane Leslie spinning in the Atlantic
Posted at 7:00 AM, Oct 02, 2018

1 ) An area of low pressure continues to move northwest near Central America toward the Yucatan Peninsula.  It still has a 30 percent chance of development over the next five days, but after that the models split quite a bit.

The European model takes this low into the Gulf of Mexico, develops it into a storm, and has it making landfall somewhere between the Florida Panhandle and Louisiana about a week from Sunday.

The American model doesn’t really develop anything, but has a lot of moisture moving up into the Gulf for most of next week, which could mean an increase in rainfall for most of the Gulf coast states.

MORE: Live tropical radar, Hurricane Guide, resources

2) Hurricane Leslie continues to wander around out there in the Atlantic Ocean and will probably do so for about another week or so. At 11 a.m. Thursday, Leslie's winds are about 75 mph.

There isn’t much steering Leslie out there, so it will keep on moving slowly north and eventually east.

Computer models finally have it being absorbed by a big trough or just wandering east and falling apart by next weekend.

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TERMS TO KNOW

TROPICAL STORM WATCH: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified coastal area within 48 hours.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within the specified coastal area within 36 hours.

HURRICANE WATCH: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are possible somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane watch is issued 48 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.

HURRICANE WARNING: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are expected somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane warning is issued 36 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.