Palm Beach Surf Forecast, Updated local surf forecast for SE Florida

Updated: November 17, 2014 - Detailed Surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast:

Rewind:  Swell picked up on Sunday but the ESE wind got to it.  It was best midday through the afternoon. Central Florida got some nice clean little swell. Heard it was pretty fun up there.


Cold front moving into the southeast.  Southerly flow sucking up into the front will bring a south windswell  Monday.  That'll be mixed with the small NE swell continueing.  Front blasts through Monday night picking up NW winds early Tuesday.  It'll take a bit to build but by the end of the day we should have a chest high plus north swell with sideshore winds and strong south drift. Wind will turn onshore quickly by Wednesday.  Maybe sideshore early Wednesday but it'll be getting blown-out quickly as more swell fills in.  Moderately strong onshore winds will continue through the rest of the week keeping a choppy wave in the forecast. Wind dies off quicker upcoast so a drive may get you a cleaner wave.


MONDAY: Waist high NE swell mixed with a south windswell.  Bigger and cleaner upcoast north of the bend. Wind SSE in the morning, picking up and turning southwest in the afternoon. Some side -bump but semi-choppy in the morning, cleaning up by nightfall with whatever is left. Best bet upcoast.

TUESDAY: another big cold front blows through. Winds pick up NNW 20-25kts. Small in the morning but quickly building chest high plus north swell in the afternoon. wind will turn on it north of the bend by sunset.

WEDNESDAY:  Looking like wind will clock around so expect it to be blown out with a strong south drift. Possibly still sideshore early so that's the best bet or ducking behind a pier or jetty.  Shoulder-head high NE swell at the open beach breaks and choppy. Wind NE 20kts. Lighter wind upcoast.

THURSDAY:  Waist to chest choppy NE swell. Wind NE 20kts.

FRIDAY:  Swell drops some but wind dies in PBC.  Staying breezy and bigger upcoast.

Long Range Surfcast:  Still tracking a big front coming thanksgiving eve!!  Stay tuned!

The winter surf season:

A weak to moderate el nino, possibly a negative AO/NAO, along with some other factors I feel are going to lead us into a good winter for surf. Here's my preliminary forecast.


November-December: November not looking like BLOW-vember after all. Looks like some good opportunites for groundswell each week with windchop in between.  Not bad! December might slow down, but I think the quality will be there with at least one good swell per week. 
January-February: Turning much colder, with opportunities for solid groundswells/ refraction swells. 
February we normally slow down with the number of swells but I think this year we will turn it on.
We'll really have to keep an eye on the NAO/AO all winter since that's the strongest driver in how much cold air gets down into Florida and if the lows that push them down will go out to sea or not.

Early look at the spring looks good for surf too!


For more updates, Follow me on Twitter and Instagram for in the field and on the go updates: @surfnweatherman




NAO:  (We're looking for it to be negative in the winter)

The Arctic Oscillation: (looking for negative in the winter)

The PNA (we are looking for this to be POSITIVE in the winter)


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James Wieland
Surf Forecaster
News Channel 5
West Palm Beach/
Treasure Coast

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