Dr. William Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach, of Colorado State University, have released their predictions for the upcoming 2013 Atlantic hurricane season.
The team is forecasting ‘enhanced activity’ due to warm tropical Atlantic waters and the lack of an El Niño.
Last year’s forecast was expected to be below normal thanks to the El Niño.
Colorado State's numbers this year are:
18 named storms (avg 12)
9 Hurricanes ( avg 6.5)
4 Major Hurricanes (avg 2)
The forecast also notes, “We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean."
They are forecasting the probability of a major hurricane landfall in the US at 140% of the long-term average. They also are forecasting the net total Atlantic activity to be 175% of the average.
Dr. Gray and his team have been independently putting together forecasts for the Atlantic hurricane season since the 1980s.
Since hurricane seasons are very difficult to predict, the team at CSU will refine their forecast in June and again in August.
There are many other companies and agencies that put together seasonal forecasts for hurricane season. NOAA’s official hurricane seasonal forecast will come out in late May, and an update in early August.
Stay tuned to WPTV NewsChannel5 in early June for our annual hurricane season special.
Be prepared by downloading the NewsChannel5 Storm Shield app now! It includes displaying hurricane tracks of all storms, along with hurricane warnings and watches and other tropical related advisories.
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