Upper level winds are shearing Fred apart. This trend will continue and most likely reduce Fred to a remnant low in the next 36 hrs. Then the low will drift westward over the next week. There is a slight chance the system will regenerate once upper level winds become more favorable in about 5 days.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 AM AST SAT SEP 12 2009
...FRED MOVING LITTLE AND WEAKENING...
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.6 WEST OR ABOUT 645
MILES...1040 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
FRED IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND FRED COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.8N 33.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
